Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.415116 0.485529 0.564618 0.660115 0.772418 0.900441 1.057677
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.295396 0.383770 0.494248 0.642876 0.838218 1.087058 1.429498
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.246837 0.344605 0.476148 0.666857 0.937665 1.310515 1.866459
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.208127 0.307890 0.450318 0.669722 1.001541 1.488379 2.263811
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.182339 0.283552 0.435644 0.682595 1.077137 1.689072 2.721905
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.156490 0.254250 0.407913 0.669267 1.107585 1.821777 3.091100
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.137157 0.231886 0.387007 0.662261 1.144867 1.967646 3.501269
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.123198 0.216107 0.374139 0.665836 1.198928 2.147110 3.995287
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.116375 0.211450 0.379146 0.700608 1.311986 2.444722 4.750165
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.109897 0.206385 0.382477 0.732276 1.423069 2.753377 5.574423
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.102745 0.199019 0.380435 0.753094 1.515622 3.038710 6.396774
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.094825 0.189084 0.372124 0.760170 1.581214 3.278796 7.162272
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.085976 0.176416 0.357328 0.753023 1.618512 3.470455 7.865744
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.077018 0.162422 0.338184 0.734314 1.628875 3.607404 8.473068
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.073321 0.158966 0.340363 0.761811 1.744943 3.993848 9.728864
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.067956 0.151185 0.332261 0.765101 1.805994 4.263560 10.748638
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.064038 0.146102 0.329387 0.779876 1.896028 4.614502 12.033814
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.058380 0.136329 0.314701 0.764578 1.910541 4.783547 12.874887
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.053804 0.128530 0.303625 0.756538 1.942006 4.999698 13.881662
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.050425 0.123189 0.297728 0.760641 2.005379 5.307862 15.200976
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.049359 0.123403 0.305352 0.800552 2.169759 5.910345 17.480287
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.048100 0.122973 0.311310 0.836909 2.330086 6.527212 19.921098
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.046260 0.120819 0.312601 0.860812 2.459219 7.076727 22.261832